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Old 08.13.2017, 12:45 AM   #1
Robert Schunk
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Foreign Policy:

If we can get out of this crisis without a war, we have a rare opportunity in the history of international relations, with all three of the world's major powers (China, Russia, and the US) on the same side, staring down a bully trying to squeeze his way onto the world stage. I just hope President Trump's rhetoric doesn't blow this rare alliance apart. Should the unthinkable happen, the Chinese have clearly indicated the conditions of their neutrality in war: no first strike by UN forces against the DPRK nor attempt at regime change. In the event of war, the President would be wise to take that statement as an instruction manual so as not to emulate General MacArthur's recklessness in proceeding past the allowable phase line into a war with a natural geopolitical ally. In any case, I just hope everyone views any outbreak of hostilities as the ultimate policy failure.

Legality:

A Congressional declaration of war might not be needed, as the 81st Congress tacitly delegated its Article 1 Section 8 warmaking power in the Korean Peninsula to the Executive by failing to challenge President Truman's usurpation of the same in 1950. Truman claimed authority under United Nations Charter Article 43 based upon United Nations Security Council Resolution 83. which called upon member states to assist the Security Council in enforcing SCR 82, calling for the removal of DPRK forces from south of the 38th Parallel, by supplying air and naval forces. However, this is problematic vis--vis both the factual situation, as SCR 83 wasn't passed until some hours after Truman's public commitment, and the legal basis, as Section 6 of the United Nations Participation Act of 1945 reserves to Congress authority to supply troops, bases, and supplies to the UN Security Council save in the case of pre-existing special agreements with the UNSC, which special agreements themselves must have been authorized by Congress. In any event, the war was never formally concluded by a peace treaty, only the Panmunjom Truce (a cease-fire agreement), so, should Truman's usurpation of Congress' Constitutional prerogatives stand unchallenged, no further authorization, save for appropriation of funds, would be required.

This instance of tacit delegation of warmaking power to the Executive by Congress raises the question of Congress' ability to delegate any of its Article 1 Section 8 powers, including its coinage power, with ramifications for the Constitutionality of the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 and of the Federal Reserve System itself.

 
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Old 08.14.2017, 07:08 AM   #2
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Schunk
staring down a bully trying to squeeze his way onto the world stage.

yeap
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Old 08.14.2017, 10:17 AM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Schunk
Foreign Policy:

If we can get out of this crisis without a war, we have a rare opportunity in the history of international relations, with all three of the world's major powers (China, Russia, and the US) on the same side, staring down a bully trying to squeeze his way onto the world stage.

There will be no war. No side is interested on it, each one from different reasons:

- North Korea - war would be the last resort for this country, as Kim knows that nuclear threat is the only thing that keeps his regime alive. With a focus on the word "threat". In case of war, he knows he wouldn't last more than 30 minutes.
- China - they have a very comfortable unpenetrable shield between their land and between South Korea that's full of American military. So this situation even with unpredictable Kim, is quite satisfactory.
- South Korea - God forbid. South Koreans couldn't care less about their poor northern brothes. Believe me, I was in Seoul and spoke to South Koreans about NK and all each of of them said was something like: "Yeah, we know they exist but we don't want to reunite or anything like that. We have our world, they have theirs." Plus, the government does not really know what they should do with he flood of starving North Koreans coming to seek refuge in South Korea.
- USA - of course, Trump would have a welcome diversion from it's own poor home support, but even he knows he can't afford a full-on war.

So, yeah, everything will settle down, Kim will yield its another wave of humanitary support and will be quiet for a couple of years. And then this will start all over again.
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Old 08.14.2017, 10:25 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by _slavo_
There will be no war. No side is interested on it, each one from different reasons:

- North Korea - war would be the last resort for this country, as Kim knows that nuclear threat is the only thing that keeps his regime alive. With a focus on the word "threat". In case of war, he knows he wouldn't last more than 30 minutes.
- China - they have a very comfortable unpenetrable shield between their land and between South Korea that's full of American military. So this situation even with unpredictable Kim, is quite satisfactory.
- South Korea - God forbid. South Koreans couldn't care less about their poor northern brothes. Believe me, I was in Seoul and spoke to South Koreans about NK and all each of of them said was something like: "Yeah, we know they exist but we don't want to reunite or anything like that. We have our world, they have theirs." Plus, the government does not really know what they should do with he flood of starving North Koreans coming to seek refuge in South Korea.
- USA - of course, Trump would have a welcome diversion from it's own poor home support, but even he knows he can't afford a full-on war.

So, yeah, everything will settle down, Kim will yield its another wave of humanitary support and will be quiet for a couple of years. And then this will start all over again.

right. it's time to buy samsung stock ha ha ha.
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Old 08.15.2017, 08:16 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by _slavo_
I was in Seoul and spoke to South Koreans about NK and all each of of them said was something like: "Yeah, we know they exist but we don't want to reunite or anything like that. .

Its kind of how New Yorkers feel about New Jersey...
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Old 08.15.2017, 08:53 PM   #6
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Originally Posted by tesla69
Its kind of how New Yorkers feel about New Jersey...
you're from maine though
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Old 08.18.2017, 03:52 PM   #7
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Originally Posted by !@#$%!
you're from maine though

Bonkers Jimmy is from Maine? That's rather surprising I thought crazy people were less crazy over there. It is Susan Collins territory, after all...
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