Yes, i'm dutch. You're right on the The Ex reference too, although I mainly just like the word pokkeherrie...
I honestly don't know about the chances for the dutch. Last time holland played serbia and montenegro (still called yugoslavia then) it was 6-1 for holland, but that was in 2000. the entire defence at that time were all playing for juventus, barcelona or manchester united and the likes. now it's a completely different story... i can't really say the dutch defence looks impressive. it's definitely the weakest spot, although they only had 3 goals against in their 10 qualifying games. Serbia & Montenegro only had 1 goal scored against them in 10 games though. Their defence must be good, but I think Holland should still be able to win that game. Against Ivory Coast it will probably be a strong physical game... not sure about that one. The Argentina game will be the most interesting. I'd rate Argentina favourites for that game, but if both teams attack then it could go either way. Holland's got a good record against the Argies too, only lost once against them (although that one time was in a world cup final
)
It could be a benefit that the game against Argentina is the last game, at least if they collected enough points in the previous games.
Brazil's defence is their weakest spot too, but they'll probably get away with it because no team will be brave enough to attack them. Their attack and midfield more than make up for it though... unreal. Also injuries of key players doesn't seem to become a problem for them. They could easily field two teams.
Spain's got some really nice players too... but history tells me I shouldn't have high expectations from them.